← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Singh
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1591.61 | 1439.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.29 | 3.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 88.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.00 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |