← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Probert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Chesterfield win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 11 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 7868.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1401.29 | 1510.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.27 | -12.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 53.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 11.40 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |