← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Melin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Wrexham win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 8506.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1516.56 | 1403.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.49 | 17.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 60.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |