← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Ross
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Bristol City win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 8499.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1474.19 | 1526.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.30 | -13.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 63.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |