β EFL League One 2004-05 Β· Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: R Olivier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Bournemouth win | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| coach days | β | 7854.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1408.94 | 1491.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.20 | -15.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 46.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.40 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |