← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Armstrong
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Blackpool win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1576.11 | 1469.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.94 | 14.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 82.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.00 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.16 |
| travel km | — | 276.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |