← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Swindon win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1502.29 | 1494.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.95 | -18.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 62.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.80 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |