β EFL League One 2004-05 Β· Mon, Mar 28, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: C Penton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Chesterfield win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colchester | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1467.91 | 1417.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.65 | -1.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 1.96 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.20 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |