← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Mar 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tranmere win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Chesterfield win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1414.23 | 1577.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.78 | 8.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| league points | 51.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |