← EFL League One 2004-05 · Fri, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Joslin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Barnsley win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 9 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1585.74 | 1475.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.60 | 14.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 79.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.20 |
| state index | 0.76 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |