← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Wrexham win | 22% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1484.11 | 1418.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.49 | 27.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.20 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |