← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Oldham win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oldham | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 2968.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1399.12 | 1589.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.20 | 16.69 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 39.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.80 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |