← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Walton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Brighton win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1421.68 | 1526.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.99 | -6.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 60.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 7.80 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |