← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Armstrong
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Rushden & D win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
| 9 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rushden & D | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1380.29 | 1484.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.86 | 10.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 48.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.00 |
| state index | -1.45 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |