← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 |
| Luton win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1397.29 | 1482.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.08 | -15.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 48.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |