← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Probert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Tranmere win | 26% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.30 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1474.44 | 1548.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.55 | 46.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 67.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.40 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.74 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |