← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Gallagher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Sheffield Weds win | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Sheffield Weds |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1476.27 | 1399.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.90 | -40.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| league points | 63.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.64 | -1.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |