← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N Miller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grimsby win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Brentford win | 33% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grimsby | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.32 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1359.28 | 1414.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.31 | 28.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 47.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |