← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Hall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 71% | 1.28 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Notts County win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 1 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 4 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 5599.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1521.67 | 1381.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.19 | -17.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 71.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.20 |
| state index | 0.26 | -1.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |