← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Probert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 53% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Oldham win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| coach days | — | 2639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1549.31 | 1494.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.66 | 17.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 72.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.80 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |