← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N Miller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Weds win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Colchester win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield Weds | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1409.62 | 1454.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.03 | 20.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 53.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |