← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Durkin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 42% | 2.20 |
| QPR win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 3250.00 | 1178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 4.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1574.12 | 1595.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.82 | -13.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 81.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.40 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |