← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Beeby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 51% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Brighton win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 8149.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1554.21 | 1519.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.88 | -13.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 75.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.80 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |