← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Wright
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Notts County win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 13 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 5585.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1519.13 | 1400.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.55 | -11.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 66.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.00 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |