← EFL League One 2003-04 · Mon, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Ross
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Colchester win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1387.54 | 1453.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.95 | 28.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 43.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.20 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |