β EFL League One 2003-04 Β· Mon, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M Fletcher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Chesterfield win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bournemouth | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 7499.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.33 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1492.39 | 1387.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.59 | -31.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 60.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.00 |
| state index | 0.14 | -1.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |