← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Thorpe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Grimsby win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 1164.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.26 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1597.04 | 1375.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.48 | 2.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 72.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.40 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |