← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Warren
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Stockport win | 31% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1406.37 | 1431.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.13 | 41.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.00 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |