← EFL League One 2003-04 · Tue, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F Stretton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Luton win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.55 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1492.57 | 1515.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.19 | -0.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| league points | 57.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.00 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |