← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Ross
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Hartlepool win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1521.48 | 1504.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.38 | -16.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 63.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.00 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |