← EFL League One 2003-04 · Tue, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E Ilderton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Swindon win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1486.35 | 1533.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.07 | -12.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 59.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 11.00 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |