← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: E Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Sheffield Weds win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield Weds | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1428.65 | 1532.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.56 | 40.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 48.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| state index | -0.80 | 0.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |