← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S Tanner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Rushden & D win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rushden & D | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 7483.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1445.00 | 1485.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.30 | 15.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 47.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 11.60 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |