← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 54% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Luton win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 15 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 1150.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1612.45 | 1513.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.64 | 6.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| league points | 70.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.80 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.12 |
| travel km | — | 43.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |