← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K Hill
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Bristol City win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 8121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1475.80 | 1555.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.88 | -57.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 56.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 14.60 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |