← EFL League One 2003-04 · Tue, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R Pearson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Colchester win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1419.91 | 1424.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.05 | -9.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 41.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.60 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |