← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L Mason
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grimsby win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Hartlepool win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grimsby | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1368.09 | 1508.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.03 | 3.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 40.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.20 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |