← EFL League One 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M Fletcher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Rushden & D win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Rushden & D |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1359.49 | 1456.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.31 | -12.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 35.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.20 |
| state index | -1.47 | -0.67 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |