← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Penn
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Luton win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 0.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1462.79 | 1489.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.15 | 15.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 57.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |