← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Northampton win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 2886.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1319.54 | 1499.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.15 | -2.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 38.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 11.00 |
| state index | -2.03 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |