← EFL League One 2002-03 · Wed, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I Williamson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Plymouth win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 2883.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1459.12 | 1513.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.05 | 24.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 54.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |