← EFL League One 2002-03 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Penton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Luton win | 29% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colchester | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 0.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1503.48 | 1467.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.55 | -24.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 57.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 6.40 |
| state index | 0.54 | -1.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |