← EFL League One 2002-03 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Boyeson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Brentford win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1348.26 | 1437.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.88 | -17.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 46.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 7.80 |
| state index | -1.25 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |