← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Tomlin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 62% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Colchester win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1596.24 | 1477.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.75 | 27.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 79.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 9.60 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |