← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sun, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Gallagher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Chesterfield win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1363.82 | 1606.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.84 | 10.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 46.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.40 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.98 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |