← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Ross
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 |
| Luton win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 800.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1571.39 | 1474.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.34 | -11.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 70.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 7.20 |
| state index | 0.83 | -0.57 |
| travel km | — | 43.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |