← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T Parkes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| Northampton win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1414.77 | 1349.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.83 | -5.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 46.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.21 | -1.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |