← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Warren
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| Notts County win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colchester | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 5214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1479.75 | 1467.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.37 | -19.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| league points | 53.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 8.80 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |