← EFL League One 2002-03 · Tue, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T Parkes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Luton win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 2257.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1430.78 | 1474.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.67 | 1.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 41.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |