← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F Stretton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Cheltenham win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| coach days | — | 2254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1453.47 | 1428.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.05 | 35.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 49.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 10.00 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |